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Wheat remains weak, while soybeans show strength amid rising CBOT grain futures volatility.
The CBOT grain futures market is driven by multiple factors, with wheat under pressure and soybeans and corn caught between demand expectations and a strong South American harvest. Fund position changes reflect investor psychology.
South Korea declares a state of emergency, sending the won to a two-year low against the dollar.
On December 3, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol announced martial law, causing the won to drop over 2% to a two-year low against the dollar. The decline later eased, but it still ended 1% lower, highlighting market volatility.
RMB fluctuations reflect a stronger dollar and global uncertainties, but recovery supports stability
The RMB exchange rate has been depreciating, with the offshore rate falling below 7.30 on December 3, a new low since last November. Experts attribute this to external uncertainties and policies, rather than domestic economic factors.
Fed officials are cautious about a December rate cut, with the market expecting slower future cuts.
Federal Reserve officials adopt a cautious stance ahead of December. While some support a rate cut, the overall position leans towards a wait-and-see approach, with market expectations suggesting slower rate cuts next year.
Trump's tariff statement strengthens the dollar, but economists warn of potential backfire.
Trump's tariff threats might have adverse effects, potentially driving the dollar down and raising international gold prices, experts point out, reflecting the uncertainty of the dollar's status.
Hong Kong's semiconductor sector rises as U.S. sanctions prompt caution on chip purchases.
The U.S. tightened semiconductor export controls, escalating China-U.S. tech tensions, as Hong Kong’s semiconductor sector rises and Chinese associations urge caution on U.S. chip purchases.
Challenges and Responses to ECB's Shift: From Interest Rate Corridor to Floor System
After the global financial crisis, the ECB shifted from the interest rate corridor to the "floor model," using quantitative easing to address liquidity issues, but this brought new challenges for monetary policy and bond markets.
Futures market diverges, with palm oil and Shanghai silver up, while glass and PVC fall.
On December 4th, the domestic futures market was mixed, with palm oil and soybean oil rising, while glass, PVC, and corn faced downward pressure, creating short-term trading opportunities.
A-shares chip sector surges, Hong Kong chips rise, China accelerates semiconductor localization.
The A-share chip sector, led by automotive chips, is surging, while the Hong Kong chip market also rises. Optimism grows over the accelerated localization of China's semiconductor industry.