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DRAM contract price surge lifts storage stocks; SanDisk jumps premarket

DRAM contract price surge lifts storage stocks; SanDisk jumps premarket

TraderKnowsTraderKnows
02-12
Summary:Storage stocks are rising pre-market: SanDisk is up nearly 8%, Western Digital, Micron, and Seagate are up over 4%. TrendForce states that Q4 DRAM contract prices have increased by more than 40%, and the DDR4 shortage may continue until Q2.

Ahead of the US stock market opening on Thursday, the storage industry chain experienced a collective surge as funds shifted focus back to the "memory price hike" theme. Pre-market data showed that SanDisk (SNDK) rose nearly 8%, while Western Digital (WDC), Micron (MU), and Seagate (STX) all increased by more than 4%.

Pre-market: Storage Stocks Rise Across the Board, Price Hike Logic Prevails Again

From the pre-market performance, it is evident that the core of market trading is not based on individual company news but rather a bet on continued upstream price increases. As price expectations heat up, the "pro-cyclical elasticity" of the storage sector has once again become the top choice for short-term funds.

Supply and Demand Clues: TrendForce Reports Contract Prices Rising Continuously, DDR4 in Tighter Supply

The key driver of sentiment comes from institutional assessments of contract prices. TrendForce (DRAMeXchange) noted that in the fourth quarter of 2025, DRAM contract prices for multiple applications rose by over 40%, with significant upward trends expected into the first quarter of 2026; DDR4's supply-demand mismatch is particularly notable, and upward pressure may continue in subsequent quarters.

Underlying Structure: Capacities Siphoned by Servers and HBM, Traditional Markets Follow Suit Passively

Prices are easily driven up due to a structural capacity tilt: suppliers are allocating more advanced processes and additional resources to high-profit products like server memory and HBM to meet the needs of AI servers and data centers, thus squeezing the availability of traditional PC/consumer DRAM, strengthening bargaining power.

Future Focus: How Far the Price Hike Can Go Depends on Negotiations and Demand Resilience

Moving forward, the market will closely monitor two lines: one is the implementation strength of upstream prices in a new round of contract negotiations; the second is whether more apparent "demand deterrence" due to prices occurs in downstream markets (PCs, mobile phones, and some enterprise IT). It's worth noting that TrendForce has recently significantly raised its first-quarter 2026 expected quarterly price increase for traditional DRAM contracts to a range of 90%-95%, indicating that short-term supply and demand tension has not eased.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer

The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.

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TraderKnows
Written byTraderKnows
Created date:2026-02-12 15:04
Last Updated:2026-02-12 15:14
Independent Analysis: Manually researched and fact-checked by the TraderKnows Compliance Team, based on public regulatory records.
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