Daily Market Review: April 26


The foreign exchange market is interconnected, with every event deserving the attention and analysis of investors.

Financial Calendar

April 26 (Friday) Data and Financial Events (Beijing Time)

To be determined Bank of Japan to announce interest rate decision and outlook report

14:30 Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda to hold a press conference

20:30 U.S. March Core PCE Price Index YoY

U.S. March Personal Spending MoM

U.S. March Core PCE Price Index MoM

22:00 U.S. April University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final

U.S. April One-Year Inflation Rate Forecast

April 27

01:00 U.S. Oil Rig Count for the Week Ending April 26

Market Review

On Thursday, the U.S. Q1 annualized quarterly GDP growth rate was significantly below expectations, recording the lowest growth since Q1 of last year; the U.S. Q1 Core PCE Price Index annualized quarterly rate was 3.7%, a new high since Q2 of last year, marking a strong rebound from the previous month. The weakening of GDP data and the sharp rise in inflation led traders to push back the expected timing of the Fed's first rate cut to December, after the data was released. Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed's mouthpiece", pointed out in his latest article that inflation is stronger than expected for the third time, making the dream of rate cuts increasingly distant. The U.S. dollar index briefly rebounded to the 106 level but faced resistance and eventually closed at 105.58.

Market Review 0426447

Today's Focus

U.S. Dollar Index: After a short-term double top breakout and retest, the downward trend continues. Attention will be on whether economic data releases can reverse the downtrend, with continued downward oscillation expected if it cannot effectively break above yesterday's high point. Support remains at the 105 level.

Market Review 0426538

EUR/USD: The price continues its short-term oscillatory upward trend. For today, the approach of not breaking below the 1.0678 low point remains unchanged. Resistance is in the 1.078 area, with opportunities for long positions after market prices stabilize following upward oscillation.

Market Review 0426613

GBP/USD: The price is nearing the upper resistance area. Focus on the situation of entering the resistance area with a potential reversal. Be cautious with long positions before breaking the 1.254-1.256 area, a reversal without a break can be a short opportunity.

Market Review 0426688

USD/JPY: The price continues its oscillatory upward trend, with focus on the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision today. For aggressive traders, short positions can be taken based on the anticipation of the Bank of Japan continuing to raise interest rates, with a stable downward trend expected after the announcement for conservative traders.

Market Review 0426770

AUD/USD: The price is nearing the upper resistance area. Before a significant break of the 0.654-0.656 area, focus on a potential reversal for continued short positions. Support in the short term is at the 0.648 level, with potential for short long positions if the downward trend does not break.

Market Review 0426854

USD/CAD: The price continues its oscillatory downward trend, with a retest of the 1.372-1.374 resistance area yesterday followed by a downtrend. Focus today on the 1.365 support area, with continued short positions expected if a counter rally breaks downwards.

Market Review 0426932

Crude Oil: For those who entered around 82 as suggested yesterday for long positions, it's advisable to continue holding in the short term. Resistance is still at the 85-85.5 area, with taking profits and exiting long positions recommended upon reaching.

Market Review 04261009

Gold: The price is in short-term oscillation, wandering within the 2330-2340 resistance area. The upper major resistance is above 2370, with potential long positions on a breakthrough above 2340. It's advisable to continue observing and wait for a direction during this wandering phase.

Market Review 04261097

S&P Index: After stabilizing and ascending post a fallback to 5000, short positions are advisable to be held. Resistance is at the 5140-5160 area. Upon reaching resistance, it's advisable to reduce and take profits on long positions, anticipating potential significant pullbacks in light of U.S. data releases.

Market Review 04261184

Bitcoin: Following a short-term breakout and retest, the price remains above 64000, with short-long positions still viable. Short-term resistance is in the 66000-67000 area, with short positions to be considered upon reversal at these levels. Hold long positions until then.

Market Review 04261274

Risk Warning and Disclaimer

The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.

The End


Foreign Exchange Trading

Foreign exchange trading is a financial trading activity that seeks profit through the exchange rate differences between different countries' currencies. It is characterized by globalization, high liquidity, and leveraged trading. Participants include central banks, commercial banks, investment institutions, enterprises, and individual investors. However, it also involves potential risks such as market fluctuations and leverage risks.

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