Why do expert traders hesitate to discuss market trends and trading methods?
Is it because they are hiding their secrets? Or do they find such discussions beneath them? Are they too wealthy, spending their time traveling with no time for online interaction? Or can we simply not encounter truly top-notch traders?
None of these reasons hold true. The essence lies in the uncertainty of market movements. What does this mean? To put it bluntly, even experts can't predict whether a price trend will rise or fall when looking at a K-line graph. Similarly, they don’t possess an invincible "Holy Grail" or an ultimate trading method that can precisely anticipate future price movements. In essence, no expert can predict trends with absolute certainty. It's like not knowing tomorrow’s lottery numbers—what’s the point of discussing tomorrow's winning numbers? There is no point. That’s a fundamental dimension. Understanding this, we can move to a higher level. Since market trends are uncertain, so-called expert traders are actually adept at handling uncertainty. They know when to enter a trade, what to do if the trade incurs a loss or gains profit, and they understand when to cut losses, when to increase positions, and when to fully invest. Thus, the real skill of trading experts lies in their ability to manage these uncertainties through their trading systems. Different systems have completely distinct perspectives.
For example, consider this price trend.
Different trading systems and different approaches may result in entirely different positions. For instance, Trader A's system operates on a larger scale with big ambitions, so even if profits retract significantly, they still hold long positions.
Meanwhile, Trader B's system has a medium-scale approach. They have just closed their long position at a profit and currently hold no positions, waiting for further market developments.
And Trader C? Their system closed long positions early and has just opened short positions.
Their approaches to this price trend are entirely different, and so are their current positions. However, over numerous trades, their profitability might converge. Short-term positions differ, but long-term profitability can be similar. Each approach has its pros and cons, and after cycles of uncertainty, the final outcomes might not differ significantly. Knowing this, is there any point in discussing individual trends?
It's like three people tossing a coin; the process may differ, but after countless tosses, everyone’s win rate approaches 50%. Short-term uncertainty and long-term logical certainty are the hallmarks of expert traders.
If the three argue vehemently over a single trade, they don’t deserve to be called experts. So, returning to the original question: why do trading experts hesitate to discuss market trends and trading methods? It’s likely because they understand the futility of such discussions.
It's pure wastage of breath. For more information on trading platforms, please contact CWG's Ahai on WeChat.
