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CBOT grain market sees mixed positions: soybeans and soybean oil firm, wheat and corn under pressure

CBOT grain market sees mixed positions: soybeans and soybean oil firm, wheat and corn under pressure

2024-09-20
SummarySpeculative net short positions have increased, even though soybean and soybean oil prices remain firm due to demand support, while wheat and corn prices have declined due to supply pressure.

The CBOT grain futures market has recently exhibited complex mood fluctuations, with distinct divergences in the performance of various commodities. According to the latest data, soybeans and soybean oil have shown strength supported by demand, especially against the backdrop of tight global supplies. Speculative funds have increased net long positions in soybean meal and soybean oil contracts, reflecting an optimistic expectation for subsequent price increases. Soybean futures prices rose by 0.2% on September 20, closing at $10.15 per bushel. Despite the supply pressure brought by the harvest season, the global demand recovery has maintained strong prices.

On the other hand, corn and wheat futures face significant pressures from supply surpluses, particularly with ample wheat supplies from the Black Sea region, exacerbating the global market's downward pricing trend. Although the International Grains Council has lowered its global wheat production forecast, speculative funds have markedly increased their bearish sentiment on wheat and corn. Despite a slight increase, corn futures still recorded a 1.5% decline this week.

Overall, the performance divergence in the grain futures market has intensified. Investors need to closely monitor fundamental changes in various commodities and adjust their positions to cope with future market fluctuations.

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The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.

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Options on futures refer to financial derivatives that combine the characteristics of futures contracts and options contracts. They are based on the underlying assets of futures contracts (such as commodities, indices, exchange rates, etc.) and involve future delivery and the choice of rights.

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