UBS raised its MSCI Global Index forecast for 2024, seeing strong upside potential in global markets

Summary：Benefiting from artificial intelligence and the broader context of a weakened global economy, UBS is quite optimistic about the global stock market in 2024.

UBS on Tuesday raised its forecast for the MSCI All Country World Index (AC) to 830 points by the end of 2024, citing improved market risk appetite, optimism about artificial intelligence, and potential deceleration in U.S. wage growth.

The brokerage's current forecast indicates a 6% "upside" potential for the benchmark index, which measures overall global stock market performance, by the end of this year.

Expectations of monetary policy easing by major central banks, weak global economic data, and enthusiasm for artificial intelligence have supported global stock markets this year.

UBS strategists stated in a report: "The market seems to be transitioning to a stage where it reacts positively to weak data faster than we expected."

Regarding artificial intelligence, UBS added: "If General Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) boosts productivity growth by 1% starting in 2028, the equity risk premium would be 4.7%."

UBS also believes that earnings revisions and the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hikes will further support global stock markets.

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The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.

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Written byTraderKnows

Created date:2024-06-04 08:02

Last Updated:2024-06-04 09:04

Independent Analysis: Manually researched and fact-checked by the TraderKnows Compliance Team, based on public regulatory records.

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