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US Treasuries Face Safe-Haven Inflows as Two-Year Yield Holds Near Highs Ahead of PCE
US Treasuries Face Safe-Haven Inflows as Two-Year Yield Holds Near Highs Ahead of PCE

A stock market sell-off driven by technology shares boosted safe-haven demand for US government bonds, modestly lowering the 10-year yield. Investors are focused on upcoming PCE inflation data amid a less forward-guided Fed policy framework.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
13 hours ago
U.S. Treasury yields
U.S. Treasury yields
13 hours ago
US Treasury Yields Surge on Rate-Hike Bets as Warsh Hints at Less Forward Guidance
US Treasury Yields Surge on Rate-Hike Bets as Warsh Hints at Less Forward Guidance

The 2-year US Treasury yield jumped to 4.23% on Monday, well above the Fed's policy ceiling, as markets reprice rate-hike risks. Signals from Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh indicating a pullback in forward guidance have spiked volatility and pressure…

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-23
U.S. Treasury yields
U.S. Treasury yields
06-23
Fed Hawkish Pivot Triggers Structural Shift and Drives Dollar to One Year High
Fed Hawkish Pivot Triggers Structural Shift and Drives Dollar to One Year High

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish surprise that broke the dollar out of its long-term range. US two-year Treasury yields jumped to 4.18%, accelerating global capital flows back to dollar assets amidst AI investment demand.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-22
Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve
06-22
China Bonds Weaken as PBOC Drains ¥341.5B, Funding Costs Rise
China Bonds Weaken as PBOC Drains ¥341.5B, Funding Costs Rise

China bonds slipped Monday as 10- and 30-year yields rose. The PBOC drained ¥341.5B, lifting quarter-end funding costs, while fiscal spending and big-bank buying may cushion losses.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-22
government bond
government bond
06-22
Asian Stocks Drop and Oil Rises as US-Iran Clashes Escalate Ahead of US CPI
Asian Stocks Drop and Oil Rises as US-Iran Clashes Escalate Ahead of US CPI

Asian markets declined significantly on Wednesday following severe military clashes between the US and Iran, while oil prices saw modest gains. Investors remain cautious as they await critical US inflation data, which could alter interest rate paths

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-10
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
06-10
Japan Bond Yields Rise as Hot Inflation Data Shadows Long-Term Debt Auction
Japan Bond Yields Rise as Hot Inflation Data Shadows Long-Term Debt Auction

Japan's May Corporate Goods Price Index rose 6.3% YoY, beating expectations and driving the 10-year JGB yield up to 2.695%. Rising inflation concerns and the upcoming BOJ meeting are dampening demand outlook for today's 30-year bond auction.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-10
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
06-10
South Korea to Crack Down on Forex Speculation Amid Won Volatility
South Korea to Crack Down on Forex Speculation Amid Won Volatility

The South Korean government reaffirmed strong measures against speculative foreign exchange trading as the Won remains weaker than 1,500 per dollar for 15 consecutive sessions.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-09
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-09
Bank Indonesia Unexpectedly Raises Rates by 25 bps to Stabilize Rupiah as Bond Sell-off Persists
Bank Indonesia Unexpectedly Raises Rates by 25 bps to Stabilize Rupiah as Bond Sell-off Persists

Bank Indonesia held an unscheduled meeting to hike its benchmark rate to 5.5%. While the rupiah and stock market rebounded, concerns over the new government's fiscal spending kept Indonesian bond yields at multi-year highs.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-09
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-09
Eurozone Bond Yields Hit Multi-Week Highs Amid Middle East Tensions and ECB Bets
Eurozone Bond Yields Hit Multi-Week Highs Amid Middle East Tensions and ECB Bets

Eurozone government bond yields rose as oil prices gained 1.5% and geopolitical risks lingered. Investors eye the upcoming ECB meeting with a 25 bps rate hike widely anticipated.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-09
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
06-09
RMB Hits Half-Month Low Against USD as Strong US Payrolls Boost Fed Rate Hike Bets
RMB Hits Half-Month Low Against USD as Strong US Payrolls Boost Fed Rate Hike Bets

The onshore and offshore Yuan briefly fell past 6.79 against the USD following strong US jobs data. However, a stronger-than-expected PBOC fixing and robust corporate conversion demands are limiting further depreciation space.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-08
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-08
Taiwan Dollar Hits 3-Week Low as Capital Outflows Offset Exporter USD Selling
Taiwan Dollar Hits 3-Week Low as Capital Outflows Offset Exporter USD Selling

The New Taiwan Dollar fell past 0.1 TWD to a three-week low of 31.648 against the USD on Monday. Foreign fund outflows driven by a tech stock correction pressured the currency, while local exporters stepped in to limit further losses.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-08
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-08
Japan's Real Wages Rise for Fourth Consecutive Month, Fueling June BOJ Rate Hike Bets
Japan's Real Wages Rise for Fourth Consecutive Month, Fueling June BOJ Rate Hike Bets

Japan's real wages surged 1.9% year-over-year, marking the longest streak of gains in nearly two and a half years. The robust wage growth bolsters expectations for a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Bank of Japan at its upcoming June policy meeting.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-05
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-05
Massive Intervention Fails to Save Yen as Short Positions Surge Near Historic Lows
Massive Intervention Fails to Save Yen as Short Positions Surge Near Historic Lows

Despite a 73.6 billion dollar forex intervention by Japan Ministry of Finance, the yen real effective exchange rate dropped to its lowest since 1973 due to persistent interest rate differentials and structural economic challenges.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-05
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
06-05
Yen Hits Crucial 160 Level as Mid-East Tensions Boost USD Triggering Intervention Fears
Yen Hits Crucial 160 Level as Mid-East Tensions Boost USD Triggering Intervention Fears

The Japanese yen fell back to the key 160 per dollar level on Wednesday, erasing all gains from the previous 11.7 trillion yen intervention. Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East boosted USD demand, while PM Sanae Takaichi issued verbal warnings…

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-04
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-04
GBP Rangebound Amid Geopolitical Risks, Market Revalues BOE Rate Path
GBP Rangebound Amid Geopolitical Risks, Market Revalues BOE Rate Path

Middle East tensions drive oil prices higher, keeping GBP/USD and EUR/GBP in narrow ranges. Markets expect the BOE to delay rate hikes to September amid transatlantic policy divergence.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-03
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-03
US Treasury Yields Edge Lower Amid JOLTS Surge and Volatile Oil Prices
US Treasury Yields Edge Lower Amid JOLTS Surge and Volatile Oil Prices

US job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.618 million in April while Fed's Hammack hinted at potential rate hikes due to inflation pressures. Geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East drove oil price volatility, leading US Treasury yields slightly…

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-03
U.S. Treasury yields
U.S. Treasury yields
06-03
China Bond Yields Drop to Record Lows on Improved Liquidity and Middle East Risks
China Bond Yields Drop to Record Lows on Improved Liquidity and Middle East Risks

Chinese government bonds extended gains as cash squeeze eased and safe-haven demand rose following military conflicts in the Middle East, dragging 10-year yields down to 1.7185%.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-28
government bond
government bond
05-28
US Yields Edge Higher in Asia as Mideast Tensions Boost Oil Prices
US Yields Edge Higher in Asia as Mideast Tensions Boost Oil Prices

US Treasury yields individual tenors advanced in Asian trading as renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drove oil prices higher, exacerbating global inflation concerns. Investors now eye key US PCE inflation data for clues on the Federal…

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-28
Debenture(Bonds)
Debenture(Bonds)
05-28
Bank of Japan Total Assets Drop 9.1% in FY2025 as JGB Holdings Taper
Bank of Japan Total Assets Drop 9.1% in FY2025 as JGB Holdings Taper

The Bank of Japan announced its FY2025 financial results on Wednesday, revealing a 9.1% YoY decline in total assets driven by reduced government bond holdings. This contraction marks a significant step forward in monetary policy normalization and bal

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-27
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
05-27
ECB Financial Stability Review Warns Iranian War Escalates Vulnerabilities Across 21 Eurozone Nation
ECB Financial Stability Review Warns Iranian War Escalates Vulnerabilities Across 21 Eurozone Nation

ECB Financial Stability Review Warns Iranian War Escalates Vulnerabilities Across 21 Eurozone Nations

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-27
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
05-27
JGB Yields Edge Higher: Middle East Tensions Drive Oil Prices Up Amid Fiscal Spending Concerns
JGB Yields Edge Higher: Middle East Tensions Drive Oil Prices Up Amid Fiscal Spending Concerns

Japanese government bond yields rose across the board on Tuesday, with the 10-year yield reaching 2.720%. While Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi clarified that the supplementary budget would not increase net market issuance, rising oil prices from Middl

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-26
government bond
government bond
05-26
US Corporate Bonds Outperform Treasuries as Sovereign Debt Concerns Mount
US Corporate Bonds Outperform Treasuries as Sovereign Debt Concerns Mount

Driven by fiscal deficits and inflation, US Treasury yields have climbed. Investors are turning to high-grade corporate bonds like Apple and Microsoft, narrowing credit spreads to historic lows.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-26
U.S. Treasury yields
U.S. Treasury yields
05-26
US Iran Peace Talks Progress Weakes Dollar as Gold Tops 4550 Amid High Level Resistance
US Iran Peace Talks Progress Weakes Dollar as Gold Tops 4550 Amid High Level Resistance

Spot gold rose over 1 percent to 4559.07 dollars on Monday as optimism over US-Iran peace talks depressed the dollar and crude oil. However, gains remain capped by Fed rate hike expectations and technical resistance at 4650 dollars.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-25
Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve
05-25
Eurozone Bond Yields Drop to One Month Lows on Strait of Hormuz Reopening Hopes
Eurozone Bond Yields Drop to One Month Lows on Strait of Hormuz Reopening Hopes

Eurozone government bond yields declined significantly as optimism over a US Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz led to a drop in oil prices, easing inflation fears and softening ECB rate hike bets.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-25
government bond
government bond
05-25
Eurozone Bond Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs as UBS Warns of Widening US-German Spread
Eurozone Bond Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs as UBS Warns of Widening US-German Spread

The 10-year German Bund yield climbed to 3.191%, a high not seen since 2011, alongside rising US Treasury yields. Although geopolitical easing signals brought Brent crude down slightly to $110, persistently high energy premiums are forcing markets to

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-20
government bond
government bond
05-20
Foreigners Net Sell Super-Long JGBs for First Time in Over a Year as 30-Year Yield Hits Record High
Foreigners Net Sell Super-Long JGBs for First Time in Over a Year as 30-Year Yield Hits Record High

Overseas investors net sold 81.3 billion yen of Japanese super-long government bonds in April, the first net outflow since Dec 2024. Amid inflation and fiscal expansion fears, the 30-year JGB yield touched its highest level since 1999. Although domes

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-20
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
05-20
Global Investment Banks Upgrade RMB Forecasts Citing Strong Export Surplus and US-China Stability
Global Investment Banks Upgrade RMB Forecasts Citing Strong Export Surplus and US-China Stability

HSBC, Deutsche Bank, and Goldman Sachs have raised their Chinese Yuan forecasts as of May 18. The currency has gained nearly 3% YTD, supported by competitive exports and stable trade ties.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-18
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
05-18
South Korea Proposes Currency Swap with US Amid $20B Investment Exchange Rate Concerns
South Korea Proposes Currency Swap with US Amid $20B Investment Exchange Rate Concerns

Facing depreciation pressure on the Won from a $20 billion direct investment in the US, South Korean President Lee Jae-myung proposed a bilateral currency swap to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The US hinted at further discussions between incom

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-14
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
05-14
CFETS RMB Exchange Rate Index Hits 2-Week High: Multilateral Resilience Drives 2.15% YTD Gain
CFETS RMB Exchange Rate Index Hits 2-Week High: Multilateral Resilience Drives 2.15% YTD Gain

CFETS data shows the RMB exchange rate index rose to 100.1, the highest since April 30. Weighed by EUR and JPY weakness against the Yuan, the basket has gained over 2% YTD, reflecting solid macroeconomic support and effective counter-cyclical managem

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-14
Currency Appreciation
Currency Appreciation
05-14
Oil Surge Nears $106: Indian Rupee Tests Record Lows as RBI Intervention Bets Mount
Oil Surge Nears $106: Indian Rupee Tests Record Lows as RBI Intervention Bets Mount

Driven by a 50% oil price rally amid the Iran conflict and persistent foreign outflows, USD/INR hovers near record lows of 95.7950. Traders anticipate RBI dollar-selling intervention to stem currency depreciation.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-14
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
05-14
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